In this presentation Professor Dungan will review current issues facing the Canadian economy – especially high inflation, and rising interest rates - and examine how these issues might be addressed or resolved over the next two to three years.  The presentation will make use of the ongoing analysis and economic forecasts of the Policy and Economic Analysis Program (PEAP) currently run out of the Rotman School of Management. 

Professor Dungan will sketch out some possible answers to key questions such as:

• Where did high inflation come from?
• Why are interest rates rising as a result?  
• Will there be a recession in Canada? 

Notice that we said ‘possible’ answers; this is a subject area clouded with uncertainty and the presentation will pay as much attention to what we do not know as to what we (think) we know. 

Please contact Alumni Relations, if you require information in an alternate format, or if any other arrangements can make this event accessible to you.

Peter Dungan is Director of the Policy and Economic Analysis Program (PEAP), with which he has been associated since he joined the University of Toronto in 1977.  He is also an Emeritus Adjunct Associate Professor of Business Economics in the Rotman School of Management.  Professor Dungan received his PhD in Economics from Princeton University in 1980.  In his work with PEAP Dungan has been closely involved with the ongoing construction and application of macroeconometric models.  He has worked on his own and with associates in a wide range of model applications and policy analyses.  Dungan also works closely with Steve Murphy in developing the program’s ongoing series of short-term and long-term national and Ontario economic and demographic projections.  He teaches macroeconomics and econometric forecasting techniques in the MBA program at Rotman, and macroeconomics in the Master of Public Policy stream at the Munk School of Global Affairs and Public Policy.